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India’s factory growth accelerates in October, PMI shows

According to a business survey released on Monday, India’s industrial growth picked up speed in October after stalling for three months as demand sharply improved, resulting in the creation of jobs and a more optimistic corporate outlook.

S&P Global’s HSBC final India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index increased from an eight-month low of 56.5 in September to 57.5 in October, above an initial estimate of 57.4.

“India’s headline manufacturing PMI picked up substantially in October as the economy’s operating conditions continue to broadly improve,” said Pranjul Bhandari, HSBC’s chief India economist.

“Rapidly expanding new orders and international sales reflect strong demand growth for India’s manufacturing sector.”

With a significant increase in demand, the output and new orders sub-indices reached three-month highs.

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S&P Global’s HSBC final India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index increased from an eight-month low of 56.5 in September to 57.5 in October, above an initial estimate of 57.4.

“India’s headline manufacturing PMI picked up substantially in October as the economy’s operating conditions continue to broadly improve,” said Pranjul Bhandari, HSBC’s chief India economist.

“Rapidly expanding new orders and international sales reflect strong demand growth for India’s manufacturing sector.”

With a significant increase in demand, the output and new orders sub-indices reached three-month highs.

September’s year-and-a-half low for global demand was surpassed. Orders from Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the United States resulted from a desire for Indian items.

Additionally, buoyant demand improved the forecast for the upcoming year.

“Business confidence is also very high due to expectations of continued strong consumer demand, new product releases, and sales pending approval,” Bhandari stated.

Businesses hired a lot more people than in September to keep up with the increasing demand. For the eighth consecutive month, hiring rose.

The government, which has failed to provide enough well-paying employment for those entering the workforce, would likely feel some comfort from that. According to a Reuters poll released a week ago, economists warned that job creation would be modest over the following 12 months.

As input and product prices rose more quickly, inflationary pressures grew. Due to increased material costs, labor charges, and transportation fees, input cost inflation reached its highest level in three months.

Compared to September, firms passed on the additional expenses to their clients far more quickly.

Due in major part to rising food costs, India’s inflation rate reached a nine-month high of 5.49% in September, which was almost at the upper limit of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) 2-6% target.

However, according to a different Reuters survey conducted last week, a small majority of analysts predicted that the RBI would lower interest rates in December from the current 6.50% to 6.25%.

 

 

 

 

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